Farense vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
FAR
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MAF
0 - 2
FAR
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
FAR
0 - 1
CAS
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
FAR
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
LEX
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
LEX
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LEX
2 - 1
SPC
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
LEX
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
LEX
1 - 2
TRO
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |