Farense vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
FAR
62%
21%
18%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FAR
2 - 2
FAM
32%
30%
39%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
SCF
3 - 0
FAR
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FAR
1 - 0
ORI
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
FAR
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
LEX
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
LEX
0 - 1
FEI
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GFC
2 - 0
LEX
64%
23%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LEX
3 - 1
AVE
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAF
1 - 0
LEX
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |