Farense vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
BOA
1 - 0
FAR
60%
25%
16%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
FAR
0 - 2
VST
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
FCB
2 - 1
FAR
58%
25%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
FAR
3 - 1
OLH
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
ACA
1 - 0
FAR
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
LEX
1 - 3
ORI
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
BEL
4 - 3
LEX
66%
20%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
LEX
4 - 0
BMA
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
LEX
2 - 0
BOA
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
VST
6 - 1
LEX
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |