Farense vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
ATL
3 - 2
FAR
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
FAR
1 - 0
FCB
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
BOA
1 - 0
FAR
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
FAR
1 - 0
UFT
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
FAR
0 - 0
VST
21%
22%
57%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
LEX
1 - 3
SCP
26%
28%
47%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
VIT
3 - 2
LEX
63%
23%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
LEX
1 - 0
ACA
35%
30%
36%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
BEL
0 - 1
LEX
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 May. 1971 |
TIR
4 - 0
LEX
52%
21%
28%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |