Farense vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
BMA
2 - 1
FAR
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
FAR
2 - 2
VST
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2002 |
SLB
5 - 0
FAR
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
FAR
1 - 1
VAR
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 0
FAR
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
FCP
2 - 1
GFC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
UDL
1 - 1
FCP
23%
26%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
SPA
2 - 0
FCP
27%
24%
50%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
FCP
0 - 0
ALV
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2002 |
FCP
2 - 1
PAN
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |