Farense vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
55.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
AVE
3 - 1
FAR
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
FAR
2 - 1
SAL
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
GFC
0 - 0
FAR
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
FAR
2 - 0
ALV
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
SCP
1 - 0
FAR
74%
18%
8%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2000 |
FCP
1 - 0
PAR
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
FCP
1 - 0
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2000 |
CAM
0 - 5
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 1
FCP
31%
25%
45%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
FCP
2 - 1
PAÇ
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |