Farense vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
52.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
SLB
3 - 0
FAR
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
FAR
2 - 1
BEL
37%
30%
33%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
FAF
1 - 0
FAR
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
MAR
2 - 1
FAR
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
FAR
1 - 0
ACV
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
HJK
2 - 0
FCP
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
FCP
3 - 1
MAR
83%
13%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
VIT
2 - 0
FCP
34%
30%
36%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
ACV
0 - 0
FCP
8%
20%
72%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
FCP
1 - 0
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |