Farense vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.2%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
51.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
SPB
3 - 1
FAR
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
FAR
1 - 0
VIZ
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1985 |
BEL
2 - 1
FAR
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
FAR
1 - 1
SCP
23%
27%
50%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
PEN
0 - 0
FAR
45%
30%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
85%
10%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
FCP
4 - 1
ACA
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
VIT
0 - 2
FCP
29%
29%
42%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1985 |
FCP
4 - 0
VST
87%
10%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
SLB
0 - 1
FCP
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |