Farense vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
43.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
VST
3 - 1
FAR
81%
13%
5%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
FAR
0 - 3
VIT
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
EST
2 - 0
FAR
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
SPB
1 - 0
FAR
56%
22%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 1
FAR
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
FCP
3 - 1
BEL
62%
21%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
FCP
7 - 0
AVE
86%
9%
4%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 1
FCP
29%
27%
45%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
FCP
6 - 1
UFT
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCP
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |