Farense vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
CDM
0 - 2
FAR
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
FAR
2 - 2
FAB
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
FAR
2 - 0
BOA
46%
25%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
LEX
1 - 1
FAR
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
FAR
0 - 1
VST
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
FCP
1 - 0
ORI
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCP
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
FCP
3 - 0
COI
80%
13%
7%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
BMA
1 - 1
FCP
27%
28%
46%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
FCP
1 - 0
BOA
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |