Farense vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
FAR
0 - 5
SLB
16%
19%
65%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
VIT
1 - 0
FAR
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
OLI
0 - 1
FAR
19%
25%
57%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
FAR
1 - 0
FAB
42%
29%
30%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
FAR
2 - 0
UFT
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
FCP
4 - 1
CDM
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
ATL
0 - 2
FCP
26%
27%
46%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
FCP
3 - 1
BMA
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 2
SLB
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
VIT
1 - 1
FCP
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |