Farense vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
BEL
2 - 1
FAR
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
SCP
2 - 0
FAR
84%
10%
6%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
FAR
1 - 0
VIT
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
ACA
0 - 0
FAR
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
FAR
4 - 3
LEX
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
FCP
0 - 0
SCP
36%
28%
36%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
VIT
0 - 4
FCP
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
FCP
2 - 3
ACA
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
LEX
0 - 1
FCP
24%
29%
47%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
FCP
1 - 3
ATL
81%
14%
5%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |