Farense vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
FAR
4 - 3
SCP
34%
23%
44%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
SCP
6 - 0
FAR
82%
11%
7%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
SCP
4 - 1
FAR
88%
8%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1955 |
FAR
3 - 1
NAC
49%
20%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
FAR
2 - 0
TIR
63%
17%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
VIT
1 - 0
FCP
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
FCP
1 - 2
SLB
30%
28%
41%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 2
FCP
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
LEX
2 - 0
FCP
22%
27%
51%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
FCP
1 - 1
FCB
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |