Farense vs FC Marco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
RIO
1 - 0
FAR
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
FAR
1 - 0
OVA
49%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 0
FAR
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
FAR
1 - 1
AVE
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
ALV
2 - 1
FAR
63%
21%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
FCM
2 - 1
SAL
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
EST
1 - 0
FCM
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
FCM
3 - 1
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
MAI
0 - 0
FCM
64%
19%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
FCM
3 - 0
FEL
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |