Farense vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ORI
0 - 3
FAR
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FAR
2 - 0
LUS
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
IDE
0 - 2
FAR
16%
24%
60%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FAR
4 - 1
EVN
84%
12%
4%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
FAR
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
OLH
1 - 0
FCC
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FCC
0 - 4
ORI
19%
24%
57%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 1
FCC
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 0
IDE
35%
23%
43%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
EVN
1 - 1
FCC
39%
23%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |