Farense vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
TIR
2 - 0
FAR
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
FAR
2 - 2
ACA
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
BEL
1 - 0
FAR
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
FAR
0 - 0
VAR
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
FCP
3 - 0
FAR
64%
19%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
FAB
2 - 1
ACA
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
VAR
1 - 1
FAB
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
FAB
0 - 3
VST
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
LEX
1 - 0
FAB
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
FAB
0 - 2
SLB
21%
27%
51%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |