Farense vs Estrela Amadora B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1995 |
BEL
1 - 0
FAR
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
FAR
4 - 0
MAR
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
FAR
3 - 0
VIT
43%
27%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
CHA
1 - 2
FAR
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
FAR
2 - 0
GFC
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1995 |
EST
1 - 1
VIT
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
CHA
1 - 0
EST
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
EST
1 - 1
GFC
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
FCP
0 - 0
EST
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
EST
0 - 0
SLB
20%
25%
54%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |