Farense vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
BMA
3 - 0
FAR
37%
31%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
FAR
1 - 0
BEL
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
FAR
1 - 0
TIR
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
PAÇ
4 - 1
FAR
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
FAR
1 - 1
BEL
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
BEL
2 - 1
EST
54%
27%
19%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
EST
0 - 0
VST
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1993 |
VIT
2 - 1
EST
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
EST
1 - 0
PAÇ
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
VST
1 - 1
EST
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |