Farense vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
65.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FAR
5 - 0
IDE
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
EVN
0 - 2
FAR
11%
20%
69%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AMO
2 - 3
FAR
13%
19%
67%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FAR
1 - 2
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 1
FAR
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SPB
6 - 0
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
EST
0 - 2
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BEL
2 - 1
EST
33%
29%
38%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
EST
0 - 2
MOR
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |