Farense vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
SLB
1 - 1
FAR
77%
16%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
FAR
0 - 2
SCP
22%
28%
50%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
SPB
4 - 1
FAR
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
FAR
3 - 0
VIT
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
FAM
0 - 1
FAR
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
EST
1 - 1
SCP
15%
27%
58%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
VIT
1 - 1
EST
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
EST
0 - 1
GFC
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
BOA
5 - 0
EST
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
EST
0 - 2
SAL
45%
29%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |