Farense vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
FAR
3 - 4
ATL
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
BMA
2 - 0
FAR
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
FAR
3 - 2
LEX
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
BOA
3 - 0
FAR
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
FAR
0 - 3
SCP
18%
25%
56%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
BEL
2 - 0
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
EST
0 - 0
ACA
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
UFT
2 - 2
EST
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
EST
1 - 3
FCP
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
VST
1 - 3
EST
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |