Farense vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
SPB
0 - 1
FAR
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
FAR
3 - 0
FAM
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
SAL
0 - 0
FAR
45%
29%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
TIR
0 - 0
FAR
49%
26%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
FAR
2 - 0
PAÇ
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
ESP
1 - 0
GFC
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
ESP
0 - 1
SPB
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
FAM
0 - 0
ESP
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
SAL
2 - 1
ESP
50%
28%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
ESP
1 - 0
TIR
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |