Farense vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
21.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
LEX
0 - 0
FAR
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FAR
0 - 1
PEN
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
FAR
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FAR
2 - 1
UDL
63%
22%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 2
FAR
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
FEI
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 1
AVE
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AVE
0 - 2
UNM
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
AVE
0 - 2
MAR
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
AVE
32%
30%
38%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |