Farense vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
SAL
0 - 0
FAR
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
FAR
1 - 1
GFC
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 1
FAR
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
FAR
2 - 1
SCP
18%
23%
60%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2001 |
FAR
0 - 1
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 1
MAR
24%
28%
48%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
CAM
0 - 0
AVE
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 1
PAÇ
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
BEL
5 - 0
AVE
60%
23%
16%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
SLB
5 - 1
AVE
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |