Farense vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
BMA
2 - 1
FAR
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FAR
1 - 0
TRO
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 2
FAR
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FAR
1 - 1
ATL
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SCP
3 - 3
FAR
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 0
CHA
33%
27%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 2
POR
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 2
CHA
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
AVE
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
CHA
30%
29%
42%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |