Farense vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
24.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
PEN
4 - 1
FAR
37%
31%
33%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
FAR
0 - 0
SPB
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
VIT
2 - 0
FAR
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
FAR
1 - 0
FAM
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
GFC
2 - 1
FAR
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
SPB
1 - 1
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
CHA
3 - 1
FAM
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
VST
1 - 1
CHA
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
CHA
1 - 1
NAC
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
UNM
1 - 1
CHA
46%
29%
26%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |