Farense vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
VIT
0 - 0
FAR
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
FAR
0 - 2
SLB
15%
25%
60%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
OEL
1 - 2
FAR
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1987 |
BOA
0 - 0
FAR
65%
23%
13%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
FAR
2 - 0
MAR
49%
28%
24%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
CHA
3 - 1
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
VAR
0 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
CHA
1 - 2
FCP
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
SPB
2 - 1
CHA
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
CHA
2 - 1
SCP
16%
21%
63%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |