Farense vs Estrela da Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 1
FAR
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 1
LEX
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
FAR
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MAF
0 - 2
FAR
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ESA
2 - 0
TRO
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
MAF
2 - 2
ESA
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 3
ESA
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
ESA
1 - 3
CHA
33%
29%
39%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 2
ESA
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |