Farense vs CF Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14%
4.6%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FAR
5 - 1
PES
84%
13%
4%
|
70 | 21 | 49 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 2
FAR
10%
22%
68%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FAR
3 - 2
FAB
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FAR
3 - 2
MES
83%
14%
4%
|
70 | 27 | 43 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
RED
0 - 2
FAR
8%
20%
72%
|
70 | 15 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
CF Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 5
CFB
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
OEL
0 - 0
CFB
79%
15%
7%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CFB
0 - 1
REA
36%
26%
39%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
OEI
2 - 0
CFB
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CFB
1 - 0
ELE
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |