Farense vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
QUA
0 - 0
FAR
16%
25%
60%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FAR
2 - 0
ORI
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
FAR
2 - 1
TOR
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
OEI
0 - 0
FAR
16%
25%
60%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 0
PIN
79%
16%
6%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
TOR
30%
24%
45%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
OEI
1 - 1
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
PIN
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CFB
1 - 0
CAR
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
UDL
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |