Farense vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
58.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
SPB
1 - 0
FAR
68%
21%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
FAR
0 - 1
RDA
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
EST
0 - 0
FAR
48%
30%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
FAR
0 - 0
RIO
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
VST
1 - 1
FAR
60%
26%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
FCP
3 - 1
SLB
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1984 |
LIV
1 - 0
SLB
59%
23%
18%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
SLB
7 - 0
SPB
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
RDA
1 - 4
SLB
7%
16%
77%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
SLB
1 - 1
EST
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |