Farense vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
59.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
BEL
2 - 1
FAR
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
FAR
3 - 0
ACA
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
UFT
2 - 2
FAR
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 0
FCP
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
VST
3 - 1
FAR
81%
13%
5%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
SLB
5 - 2
UJP
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
SLB
3 - 0
ATL
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
BEL
4 - 2
SLB
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
SLB
5 - 0
BMA
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
FEN
1 - 0
SLB
40%
26%
33%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |