Farense vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
59%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
UFT
0 - 3
FAR
48%
28%
25%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1974 |
FAR
0 - 4
SLB
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
BMA
3 - 1
FAR
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
FAR
2 - 1
ORI
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
BEL
3 - 1
FAR
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
SLB
4 - 0
BEL
83%
12%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
SCP
2 - 1
SLB
61%
21%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
FCP
0 - 3
SLB
39%
26%
36%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1974 |
FAR
0 - 4
SLB
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1974 |
VST
2 - 2
SLB
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |