Farense vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
60%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1972 |
TIR
2 - 0
FAR
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
FAR
2 - 0
BMA
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
VST
4 - 0
FAR
87%
9%
4%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
FAR
2 - 2
FAB
52%
27%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
FCP
2 - 0
FAR
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1972 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
61%
22%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
VIT
1 - 3
SLB
20%
26%
53%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
SLB
6 - 0
FCP
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
COV
3 - 6
SLB
19%
24%
58%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |