Farense vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
21.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1996 |
FAR
1 - 1
SLB
18%
25%
57%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
EST
1 - 1
FAR
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
FAR
0 - 1
VIT
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
TIR
2 - 1
FAR
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
SAL
1 - 0
FAR
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1996 |
VIT
1 - 0
BEL
65%
19%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
SPB
1 - 1
BEL
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
BEL
1 - 2
BOA
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCP
24%
29%
47%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1995 |
LEC
0 - 5
BEL
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |