Farense vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
32.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
ACA
4 - 0
FAR
65%
21%
13%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
FAR
2 - 0
UFT
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
FCP
6 - 1
FAR
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
FAR
0 - 0
VST
37%
29%
35%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 0
FAR
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1976 |
SLB
1 - 1
BEL
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
BEL
0 - 0
ACA
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
UFT
3 - 1
BEL
35%
30%
36%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCP
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
VST
4 - 1
BEL
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |