Farense vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
28.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
LEX
0 - 0
FAR
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
FAR
4 - 1
BOA
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
VST
1 - 0
FAR
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
FAR
1 - 1
FCB
60%
23%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
OLH
1 - 0
FAR
39%
30%
31%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
BEL
3 - 1
ORI
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
BMA
1 - 2
BEL
34%
30%
36%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
LEX
1 - 1
BEL
37%
30%
33%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
BEL
4 - 1
BOA
61%
22%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
VST
3 - 2
BEL
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |