Farense vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
25.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
FCB
4 - 1
FAR
58%
22%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
FAR
1 - 3
SCP
23%
23%
55%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
COI
1 - 0
FAR
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
FAR
3 - 2
BMA
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
FAR
2 - 5
SLB
19%
21%
60%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
BEL
2 - 0
UFT
67%
21%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
FCP
1 - 1
BEL
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
BEL
3 - 2
VST
24%
30%
47%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
FAB
1 - 2
BEL
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
BEL
0 - 0
VST
23%
30%
48%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |