Farense vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
VAR
1 - 0
FAR
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
FAR
1 - 0
FCP
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
FAR
4 - 3
SCP
34%
23%
44%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
SCP
6 - 0
FAR
82%
11%
7%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
SCP
4 - 1
FAR
88%
8%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
FCP
1 - 0
BEL
68%
20%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
BEL
3 - 1
VIT
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
BEL
2 - 2
SCP
28%
26%
45%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
SCP
4 - 2
BEL
78%
14%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1970 |
BEL
2 - 0
TIR
66%
18%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |