Farense vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
LEX
0 - 1
FAR
67%
22%
11%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
FAR
1 - 4
BOA
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
SCP
4 - 1
FAR
88%
9%
3%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
FAR
2 - 0
FAB
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
SPB
2 - 0
FAR
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
BMA
0 - 2
BEL
36%
29%
36%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
ACA
1 - 1
BMA
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
BMA
4 - 1
UFT
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
FCP
0 - 0
BMA
82%
13%
6%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
BMA
4 - 2
VST
34%
32%
34%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | +2 |