Farense vs Armacenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.4%
2.7%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
GFC
2 - 3
FAR
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FAR
2 - 1
AVE
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
FAR
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FAR
2 - 1
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
OLH
1 - 0
FAR
45%
29%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Armacenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
ESP
7 - 2
ARM
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 4
FAR
25%
23%
52%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MEG
1 - 1
ARM
17%
19%
64%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ARM
2 - 0
IMO
13%
18%
69%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +3 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 1
ARM
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |