Farense vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
VIT
1 - 0
FAR
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
FAR
0 - 0
MAR
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
FAR
2 - 1
CAM
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
BMA
0 - 1
FAR
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
FAR
0 - 1
RIO
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
ALV
1 - 1
BMA
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
RIO
0 - 0
ALV
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
ALV
0 - 1
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
SCP
2 - 0
ALV
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
ALV
2 - 1
ACA
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |