Farense vs Almancilense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 3
FAR
22%
26%
53%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PRA
3 - 1
FAR
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FAR
1 - 0
FAB
78%
16%
7%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 0
FAR
18%
26%
56%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
FAR
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 2
PIN
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ARM
1 - 3
ALM
12%
17%
71%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 1
ALJ
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 2
MER
68%
17%
15%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 0
VIA
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |