Farense vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 0
ESA
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 1
FAR
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 1
LEX
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
FAR
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 0
LEX
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACA
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 2
RIO
23%
27%
51%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 1
TRO
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MAF
2 - 2
ACA
51%
27%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |