Farense vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1985 |
VIT
4 - 0
FAR
64%
23%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
FAR
3 - 1
VST
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
SLB
6 - 0
FAR
88%
9%
3%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
FAR
0 - 1
BOA
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
RIO
2 - 1
FAR
60%
24%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1985 |
POR
2 - 1
ACA
65%
22%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
ACA
3 - 1
VIT
48%
29%
23%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
VST
5 - 1
ACA
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
ACA
1 - 2
SLB
13%
23%
65%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
BOA
2 - 0
ACA
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |