Farense vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
UFT
2 - 2
FAR
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 0
FCP
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
VST
3 - 1
FAR
81%
13%
5%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
FAR
0 - 3
VIT
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
EST
2 - 0
FAR
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
ACA
0 - 2
BEL
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
ACA
2 - 4
SLB
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
UFT
2 - 1
ACA
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 1
FCP
29%
27%
45%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
VST
3 - 1
ACA
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |