Farense vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
25%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
SCP
3 - 0
FAR
82%
12%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
FAR
0 - 0
SLB
15%
25%
59%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
VIT
1 - 1
FAR
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
FAR
2 - 2
FCP
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
CDM
0 - 2
FAR
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
ACA
3 - 0
ORI
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
BEL
6 - 0
ACA
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
ACA
2 - 0
LEX
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
BOA
2 - 0
ACA
53%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
ACA
0 - 3
VST
29%
28%
44%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |