Farense U23 vs Sporting CP U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
22.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
5º
2º
29
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
31 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GIL
0 - 0
FAR
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 1
FAR
50%
22%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 2
EST
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 1
FAR
35%
22%
43%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
FAR
2 - 1
POR
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
SPO
62%
19%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
5 - 4
LEX
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 2
EST
14%
20%
66%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +4 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
BES
3 - 2
SPO
86%
11%
4%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |