Farense U23 vs Sporting CP U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
12º
8º
11
8º
11º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
FAR
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 7
BES
13%
20%
67%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
MAF
1 - 4
FAR
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 0
BES
10%
15%
75%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 1
POR
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 4
POR
20%
21%
59%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 2
RIO
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 1
EST
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 3
MAF
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
SPO
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |