Farense U23 vs Rio Ave U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
5º
2º
22
6º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
31 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 1
FAR
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
FAR
3 - 2
GIL
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 0
FAR
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 0
MAR
43%
22%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
FAR
0 - 2
MAF
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Ave U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 0
MAR
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
POR
6 - 0
RIO
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 0
FAR
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
LEX
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 4
RIO
53%
21%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |